| Title | SIMULASI PEMODELAN PELUANG KEBANGKRUTAN (RUIN PROBABILITY) PERUSAHAAN ASURANSI DENGAN ANALISIS PENDAPATAN PREMI DAN BEBAN KLAIM |
|---|---|
| Author | MUTIA RACHMAWATI SEPTIADI |
| Abstract | Peluang kebangkrutan pada sebuah perusahaan asuransi diartikan sebagai suatu keadaan dimana total beban klaim yang harus dibayarkan lebih besar jumlahnya daripada pendapatan premi ditambah modal awal perusahaan. Perusahaan asuransi mempunyai dana untuk membayar klaim yang diperoleh dari akumulasi cadangan dana awal dan pendapatan perusahaan dari pembayaran premi. Jika dana perusahaan asuransi pada waktu ke- t nilainya lebih kecil sama dengan 0 maka perusahaan asuransi mengalami kebangkrutan. Oleh karena itu dianalisis pendapatan premi yang diperoleh perusahaan asuransi serta besaran beban klaim yang harus ditanggung perusahaan asurani. Semakin besar jumlah pendapatan premi yang diperoleh, maka semakin besar dana perusahaan asuransi pada waktu ke-t untuk menanggung beban klaim berikutnya. Sehingga dapat diestimasi peluang kebangkrutan dengan simulasi pemodelan peluang kebangkrutan perusahaan asuransi jika diasumsikan banyaknya beban klaim yang yang diperoleh pada selang waktu 0 dan t berdistribusi poisson dengan ukuran beban klaim berdistribusi eksponensial. Pemodelan ini dapat digunakan oleh perusahaan asuransi dalam mengambil keputusan ketika menentukan besaran premi yang mana dapat membuat perusahaan untung ataupun rugi. |
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